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[BTS] Bismarck Immortal - need advice on tough decisions

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Hello Civfanatics!

In my recent game I ran into some trouble, so I thought that it is time to ask for advice. I would like to post the initial save, because I would be very happy to see what you guys and gals do with this map.

Settings are normal, standard, Immortal, Continets
Our leader is Bismarck who is Expansive and Industrious.

Spoiler on why the map is difficult for me:
Spoiler:
Our neighbour Mehmed gets HUGE with a lot of land to backfill, and (in my game) he got a peacful vassal (Qin) too.


Spoiler for my actual question, later save attached.
Spoiler:
I attached the save where I had to decide whether I take Mil Trad from lib there or I tech optics and see if I can trade for Engineering with the other continent and grab Chemistry or Steel.

I saw in the log that the other continent has built Angkor and Uni of Sankore, so I felt that I have to tech lib or I lose the race. (Later it turned out that I could have delayed Lib for >=10 turns safely)

I decided to go for Miltrad, although I felt that I don't really have a chance with cuirs against a double size Mehmed plus vassal with pikes. And It seems that I was right. How would You approach this situation?


I would also be happy to hear any criticism on my save. I guess I screwed up something in the early game, and I have some ideas, but I would like some input first :D

Attached Thumbnails
Click image for larger version

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ID:	338996  
Attached Files
File Type: civbeyondswordsave AutoSave_Initial_BC-4000.CivBeyondSwordSave (38.2 KB)
File Type: civbeyondswordsave Bismarck AD-1040.CivBeyondSwordSave (230.0 KB)

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